Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 18-9-2
3–2
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 10-14-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
29114010333
ANA
1811505228
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 18-9-2 · ANA 10-14-4 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Ducks
The Maple Leafs earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 1.6, and a 3–2 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.6, on 33 and 28 shots on goal.
TOR 3.8 xG · 33 shots
ANA 1.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd
1.6 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Max Pacioretty · 1st 06:57 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
2
William Nylander · 1st 14:17 · 2–0 · bat shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Frank Vatrano · 1st 15:56 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Max Pacioretty · 2nd 12:54 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Jackson LaCombe · 2nd 13:59 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 82.
TOR 82%ANA 18%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Max Pacioretty · 1st 06:57 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
2
William Nylander · 1st 14:17 · 2–0
Bat shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Frank Vatrano · 1st 15:56 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Max Pacioretty · 2nd 12:54 · GWG · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Jackson LaCombe · 2nd 13:59 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 1.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
7/8 saves · 1 GA · 0.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.