TOR
3–6
NYI
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 21-11-2
3–6
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 13-14-7
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
16110113329
NYI
39012313634
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 21-11-2 · NYI 13-14-7 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Islanders
Chances were even (2.7 to 3.0 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 3–6. Joseph Woll allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 3.0, on 29 and 34 shots on goal.
TOR 2.7 xG · 29 shots
NYI 3.0 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.3 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 0.9
3rd
1.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Maxim Tsyplakov · 1st 01:47 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 04:48 · 0–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 1st 12:29 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 1st 16:08 · 1–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 05:43 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Isaiah George · 3rd 05:23 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Noah Dobson · 3rd 10:36 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Bobby McMann · 3rd 13:49 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 17:40 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 45.
TOR 45%NYI 55%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Maxim Tsyplakov · 1st 01:47 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Bo Horvat · 1st 04:48 · 0–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 1st 12:29 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 1st 16:08 · 1–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 05:43 · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Isaiah George · 3rd 05:23 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Noah Dobson · 3rd 10:36 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
8
Bobby McMann · 3rd 13:49 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Mathew Barzal · 3rd 17:40 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
3
John Tavares, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–2
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
