TOR
2–5
WPG
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 21-12-2
2–5
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 25-10-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
0811017225
WPG
1111739527
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 21-12-2 · WPG 25-10-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Jets
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.9 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 2–5. Joseph Woll allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.9, on 25 and 27 shots on goal.
TOR 2.7 xG · 25 shots
WPG 2.9 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.9 · 1.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 16:04 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Kyle Connor · 2nd 01:16 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
John Tavares · 2nd 05:25 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 03:27 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 11:57 · 1–4 · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
6
John Tavares · 3rd 13:42 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 19:39 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 47.
TOR 47%WPG 53%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 16:04 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Kyle Connor · 2nd 01:16 · 0–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (22%)
3
John Tavares · 2nd 05:25 · PP · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
4
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 03:27 · GWG · 1–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 11:57 · 1–4
Poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (12%)
6
John Tavares · 3rd 13:42 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Mark Scheifele · 3rd 19:39 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
