TOR
2–5
WSH
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 22-13-2
2–5
FinalL
Washington Capitals
WSH · 24-9-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
114113010237
WSH
2151829532
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
TOR 22-13-2 · WSH 24-9-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Capitals
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (3.5 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Matt Murray allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 37 and 32 shots on goal.
TOR 3.5 xG · 37 shots
WSH 2.5 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.8
2nd
1.4 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 03:14 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 04:46 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 08:54 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Bobby McMann · 2nd 08:10 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Nic Dowd · 2nd 09:53 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Tom Wilson · 3rd 12:36 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 16:37 · 2–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 65.
TOR 65%WSH 35%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Capitals shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 03:14 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 04:46 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 08:54 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Bobby McMann · 2nd 08:10 · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
5
Nic Dowd · 2nd 09:53 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Tom Wilson · 3rd 12:36 · PP · 2–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Alex Ovechkin · 3rd 16:37 · EN · 2–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
3
Trevor van Riemsdyk, Taylor Raddysh · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–2
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
35/37 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
