Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 23-13-2
3–1
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 14-17-7
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
1711315325
NYI
09112010131
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 23-13-2 · NYI 14-17-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Islanders
Chances were even (2.6 to 2.4 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 3–1. Joseph Woll stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.6 expected goals to 2.4, on 25 and 31 shots on goal.
TOR 2.6 xG · 25 shots
NYI 2.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.4
2nd
1.5 · 1.3
3rd
0.6 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
David Kampf · 1st 17:54 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 11:59 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Steven Lorentz · 2nd 12:15 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
John Tavares · 3rd 19:27 · 3–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 55.
TOR 55%NYI 45%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
David Kampf · 1st 17:54 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Jean-Gabriel Pageau · 2nd 11:59 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Steven Lorentz · 2nd 12:15 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
John Tavares · 3rd 19:27 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.