Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 25-13-2
6–4
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 20-17-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
11111048629
BOS
09212210431
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
TOR 25-13-2 · BOS 20-17-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
Maple Leafs beat the Bruins
Chances were even (2.1 to 2.4 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 6–4. Jeremy Swayman allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.4, on 29 and 31 shots on goal.
TOR 2.1 xG · 29 shots
BOS 2.4 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.8 · 0.5
2nd
0.6 · 1.3
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake McCabe · 1st 03:29 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Knies · 2nd 03:37 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Morgan Geekie · 2nd 03:49 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
4
Trent Frederic · 2nd 18:44 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Knies · 3rd 03:43 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
David Pastrnak · 3rd 04:17 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Knies · 3rd 05:28 · 4–3 · slap shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Mitch Marner · 3rd 17:55 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
David Pastrnak · 3rd 18:10 · 5–4 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
10
Auston Matthews · 3rd 19:29 · 6–4 · poke shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 45.
TOR 45%BOS 55%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake McCabe · 1st 03:29 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Knies · 2nd 03:37 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Morgan Geekie · 2nd 03:49 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
4
Trent Frederic · 2nd 18:44 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Matthew Knies · 3rd 03:43 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
David Pastrnak · 3rd 04:17 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Matthew Knies · 3rd 05:28 · 4–3
Slap shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Mitch Marner · 3rd 17:55 · EN · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
David Pastrnak · 3rd 18:10 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
10
Auston Matthews · 3rd 19:29 · EN · 6–4
Poke shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.