Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 26-13-2
3–2
Final / OTW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 17-18-5
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
213050512325
PHI
114190702232
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 26-13-2 · PHI 17-18-5 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Flyers
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (2.9 to 2.2 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Rielly's goal anyway.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flyers created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.2, on 32 and 25 shots on goal.
TOR 2.2 xG · 25 shots
PHI 2.9 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 1.2
3rd
0.2 · 0.6
OT
0.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Tyson Foerster · 1st 03:24 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Knies · 1st 04:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 1st 18:52 · 2–1 · poke shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Scott Laughton · 2nd 11:08 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Morgan Rielly · OT 02:25 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 39.
TOR 39%PHI 61%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Tyson Foerster · 1st 03:24 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Matthew Knies · 1st 04:02 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 1st 18:52 · 2–1
Poke shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Scott Laughton · 2nd 11:08 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Morgan Rielly · OT 02:25 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.