TOR
1–4
DAL
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 27-16-2
1–4
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 28-14-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
1801109128
DAL
1121823423
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 27-16-2 · DAL 28-14-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Stars
Chances were even (2.3 to 2.6 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 1–4. Joseph Woll allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.3 expected goals to 2.6, on 28 and 23 shots on goal.
TOR 2.3 xG · 28 shots
DAL 2.6 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd
0.6 · 1.1
3rd
1.1 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 04:15 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Logan Stankoven · 1st 08:33 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
3
Mavrik Bourque · 2nd 12:35 · 1–2 · deflected shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Matt Duchene · 3rd 01:06 · 1–3 · between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 02:54 · 1–4 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 45.
TOR 45%DAL 55%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 04:15 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Logan Stankoven · 1st 08:33 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
3
Mavrik Bourque · 2nd 12:35 · PP · GWG · 1–2
Deflected shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Matt Duchene · 3rd 01:06 · PP · 1–3
Between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 02:54 · 1–4
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
4
Wyatt Johnston, Miro Heiskanen · between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–3
5
Matt Duchene, Jason Robertson · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–4
No penalties
Goaltending
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
