TOR
4–3
NJD
Final / OT · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 28-16-2
4–3
Final / OTW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 26-15-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
01011221811441
NJD
18171801324
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 3–0
TOR 28-16-2 · NJD 26-15-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 3–0
Maple Leafs beat the Devils
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.9 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won it in overtime on Nylander's goal. Jacob Markstrom allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 41 and 24 shots on goal.
TOR 2.5 xG · 41 shots
NJD 2.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 0.7
3rd
1.0 · 1.5
OT
0.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Hughes · 1st 02:21 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
William Nylander · 2nd 06:14 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Nico Hischier · 2nd 08:14 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 3rd 07:43 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
5
Nico Hischier · 3rd 09:44 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 15:47 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
William Nylander · OT 01:10 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 42.
TOR 42%NJD 58%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Hughes · 1st 02:21 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
2
William Nylander · 2nd 06:14 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Nico Hischier · 2nd 08:14 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 3rd 07:43 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
5
Nico Hischier · 3rd 09:44 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 15:47 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
William Nylander · OT 01:10 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
37/41 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
