Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 30-17-2
1–5
FinalL
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 23-18-7
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
0150915129
CBJ
172527519
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
TOR 30-17-2 · CBJ 23-18-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Blue Jackets
Chances were even (3.4 to 2.9 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 1–5. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 2.9, on 29 and 19 shots on goal.
TOR 3.4 xG · 29 shots
CBJ 2.9 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 0.9
2nd
1.0 · 1.2
3rd
1.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Fantilli · 1st 15:40 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
2
James van Riemsdyk · 2nd 13:40 · 0–2 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Adam Fantilli · 2nd 15:21 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Luca Del Bel Belluz · 3rd 05:56 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Auston Matthews · 3rd 09:22 · 1–4 · snap shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 12:02 · 1–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 57.
TOR 57%CBJ 43%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Fantilli · 1st 15:40 · SH · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
2
James van Riemsdyk · 2nd 13:40 · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
3
Adam Fantilli · 2nd 15:21 · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Luca Del Bel Belluz · 3rd 05:56 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Auston Matthews · 3rd 09:22 · 1–4
Snap shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 12:02 · EN · 1–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.