Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 30-19-2
1–3
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 30-17-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
08011114133
MIN
2801215325
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
TOR 30-19-2 · MIN 30-17-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Wild
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (2.5 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 1–3. Filip Gustavsson stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.8, on 33 and 25 shots on goal.
TOR 2.5 xG · 33 shots
MIN 1.8 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.9
2nd
1.2 · 0.5
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Marat Khusnutdinov · 1st 07:07 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Jared Spurgeon · 1st 15:35 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 3rd 08:16 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 19:45 · 1–3 · poke shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 63.
TOR 63%MIN 37%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Marat Khusnutdinov · 1st 07:07 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Jared Spurgeon · 1st 15:35 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 3rd 08:16 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 19:45 · EN · 1–3
Poke shot, into an empty net
1st period
2
Mats Zuccarello, Joel Eriksson Ek · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
0–2
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.