TOR
6–3
CAR
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 34-20-2
6–3
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 33-20-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
4110923623
CAR
01208315335
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 34-20-2 · CAR 33-20-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Hurricanes
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.1 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. The Hurricanes owned the 3rd period, 1.4 to 0.3 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.4, on 35 and 23 shots on goal.
TOR 2.4 xG · 23 shots
CAR 3.1 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Steeves · 1st 02:50 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 03:29 · 2–0
3
David Kampf · 1st 06:39 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
John Tavares · 1st 15:06 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 12:25 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 14:46 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 15:06 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:37 · 5–3 · backhand shot, into an empty net
9
Pontus Holmberg · 3rd 19:40 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 39.
TOR 39%CAR 61%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Steeves · 1st 02:50 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Pontus Holmberg · 1st 03:29 · 2–0
3
David Kampf · 1st 06:39 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
John Tavares · 1st 15:06 · GWG · 4–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Shayne Gostisbehere · 3rd 12:25 · 4–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Andrei Svechnikov · 3rd 14:46 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Jaccob Slavin · 3rd 15:06 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:37 · EN · 5–3
Backhand shot, into an empty net
9
Pontus Holmberg · 3rd 19:40 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
6
Mikko Rantanen, Shayne Gostisbehere · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4–2
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
