TOR
2–3
FLA
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 39-23-3
2–3
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 41-22-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
1701018225
FLA
1112905325
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
TOR 39-23-3 · FLA 41-22-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Panthers
Chances were even (2.2 to 1.7 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 2–3. Anthony Stolarz allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 1.7, on 25 and 25 shots on goal.
TOR 2.2 xG · 25 shots
FLA 1.7 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.7
2nd
1.0 · 0.7
3rd
0.9 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
John Tavares · 1st 02:00 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Sam Bennett · 1st 17:51 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Niko Mikkola · 2nd 13:56 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 17:13 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Max Domi · 3rd 04:26 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 60.
TOR 60%FLA 40%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
John Tavares · 1st 02:00 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Sam Bennett · 1st 17:51 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Niko Mikkola · 2nd 13:56 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Sam Bennett · 2nd 17:13 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Max Domi · 3rd 04:26 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1st period
2
Mackie Samoskevich, Sam Reinhart · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
