TOR
2–4
OTT
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 39-24-3
2–4
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 36-25-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
0527011223
OTT
0103718425
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–3
TOR 39-24-3 · OTT 36-25-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–3
Maple Leafs fell to the Senators
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (2.3 to 1.6 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Anthony Stolarz allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 2.3 expected goals to 1.6, on 23 and 25 shots on goal.
TOR 2.3 xG · 23 shots
OTT 1.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.4
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 2nd 06:49 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 07:57 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 08:55 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
David Perron · 2nd 12:16 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Claude Giroux · 2nd 14:08 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Michael Amadio · 3rd 19:53 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 64.
TOR 64%OTT 36%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 2nd 06:49 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Jake Sanderson · 2nd 07:57 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 08:55 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
David Perron · 2nd 12:16 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Claude Giroux · 2nd 14:08 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Michael Amadio · 3rd 19:53 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 1.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
