TOR
6–2
CGY
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 40-24-3
6–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 30-25-11
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
11441213629
CGY
1607113226
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
TOR 40-24-3 · CGY 30-25-11 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
Maple Leafs beat the Flames
The Maple Leafs earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.1, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Dustin Wolf allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.1, on 29 and 26 shots on goal.
TOR 3.1 xG · 29 shots
CGY 2.1 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.5
2nd
1.3 · 0.7
3rd
0.2 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Max Domi · 1st 01:47 · 1–0 · slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 19:13 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 2nd 01:39 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nick Robertson · 2nd 09:34 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 15:41 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 18:54 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Bobby McMann · 3rd 03:03 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Kevin Bahl · 3rd 19:12 · 6–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 67.
TOR 67%CGY 33%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Max Domi · 1st 01:47 · 1–0
Slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
2
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 19:13 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
William Nylander · 2nd 01:39 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Nick Robertson · 2nd 09:34 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 15:41 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 18:54 · PP · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Bobby McMann · 3rd 03:03 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 6–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Kevin Bahl · 3rd 19:12 · 6–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2
Jonathan Huberdeau, Martin Pospisil · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
