Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 41-24-3
2–1
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 41-25-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
05110111226
COL
013115011139
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 41-24-3 · COL 41-25-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Avalanche
Chances were even (2.8 to 3.0 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 2–1. Joseph Woll stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 3.0, on 26 and 39 shots on goal.
TOR 2.8 xG · 26 shots
COL 3.0 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.8
2nd
1.0 · 1.2
3rd
1.3 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 2nd 00:28 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 02:48 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Steven Lorentz · 3rd 02:53 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 47.
TOR 47%COL 53%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 2nd 00:28 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 02:48 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Steven Lorentz · 3rd 02:53 · SH · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
38/39 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.