TOR
7–2
PHI
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 43-25-3
7–2
FinalW
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 28-36-9
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
21041317730
PHI
131808219
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 3–0
TOR 43-25-3 · PHI 28-36-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 3–0
Maple Leafs beat the Flyers
Chances were even (1.9 to 2.0 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 7–2. Samuel Ersson allowed 5.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.9 expected goals to 2.0, on 30 and 19 shots on goal.
TOR 1.9 xG · 30 shots
PHI 2.0 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.5 · 0.2
2nd
1.0 · 0.6
3rd
0.4 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan Poehling · 1st 07:59 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 1st 10:37 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
William Nylander · 1st 15:11 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Bobby McMann · 2nd 01:45 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
John Tavares · 2nd 07:49 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
William Nylander · 2nd 11:55 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
David Kampf · 2nd 15:08 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Sean Couturier · 2nd 18:17 · 6–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Max Domi · 3rd 11:32 · 7–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 47.
TOR 47%PHI 53%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan Poehling · 1st 07:59 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 1st 10:37 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
William Nylander · 1st 15:11 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Bobby McMann · 2nd 01:45 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
John Tavares · 2nd 07:49 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6
William Nylander · 2nd 11:55 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
David Kampf · 2nd 15:08 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
8
Sean Couturier · 2nd 18:17 · 6–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
9
Max Domi · 3rd 11:32 · 7–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/30 saves · 7 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 5.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
