TOR
3–2
FLA
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 46-25-4
3–2
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 44-27-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
01115210326
FLA
0711618231
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
TOR 46-25-4 · FLA 44-27-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
Maple Leafs beat the Panthers
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.0 to 2.4 expected goals) but won 3–2 anyway. Anthony Stolarz stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.4, on 31 and 26 shots on goal.
TOR 2.4 xG · 26 shots
FLA 3.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.5
2nd
1.0 · 1.2
3rd
0.7 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 01:03 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 2nd 11:31 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mitch Marner · 3rd 10:50 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Matthew Knies · 3rd 15:09 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 17:22 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 41.
TOR 41%FLA 59%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gustav Forsling · 2nd 01:03 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 2nd 11:31 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mitch Marner · 3rd 10:50 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Matthew Knies · 3rd 15:09 · GWG · 3–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 17:22 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
