TOR
4–3
DET
Final / OT · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 52-26-4
4–3
Final / OTW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 39-35-8
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
18042711420
DET
1132150600334
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 3–1
TOR 52-26-4 · DET 39-35-8 · Meeting 4 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 3–1
Maple Leafs beat the Red Wings
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Maple Leafs erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Tanev's equalizer with 0:02 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Laughton's goal. Cam Talbot allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.2, on 20 and 34 shots on goal.
TOR 2.9 xG · 20 shots
DET 2.2 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.9
2nd
0.3 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 0.4
OT
0.7 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 17:53 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
2
· 1st 19:19 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Justin Holl · 2nd 02:16 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 05:50 · 1–3 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Philippe Myers · 3rd 03:43 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Chris Tanev · 3rd 19:58 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Scott Laughton · OT 00:56 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (56%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 61.
TOR 61%DET 39%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 17:53 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
2
· 1st 19:19 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Justin Holl · 2nd 02:16 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Alex DeBrincat · 2nd 05:50 · PP · 1–3
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Philippe Myers · 3rd 03:43 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Chris Tanev · 3rd 19:58 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Scott Laughton · OT 00:56 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (56%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
