TOR
6–2
OTT
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 1-0
6–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
2521326624
OTT
11308112233
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Maple Leafs lead the series 1–0
TOR 1-0 · OTT 0-1 · Game 1 — the Maple Leafs lead the series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Senators
The Maple Leafs earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 3.2, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Linus Ullmark allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 3.2, on 24 and 33 shots on goal.
TOR 3.8 xG · 24 shots
OTT 3.2 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 1.0
3rd
1.0 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 1st 07:09 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 12:18 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 16:18 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
4
John Tavares · 2nd 04:07 · 3–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 07:19 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Ridly Greig · 3rd 04:00 · 4–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
7
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 04:45 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Matthew Knies · 3rd 13:13 · 6–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 58.
TOR 58%OTT 42%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 1st 07:09 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Mitch Marner · 1st 12:18 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Drake Batherson · 1st 16:18 · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
4
John Tavares · 2nd 04:07 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 07:19 · PP · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Ridly Greig · 3rd 04:00 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (45%)
7
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 04:45 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
8
Matthew Knies · 3rd 13:13 · PP · 6–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (41%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
18/24 saves · 6 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
