TOR
3–2
OTT
Final / OT · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 2-0
3–2
Final / OTW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 0-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
27030912321
OTT
0101131401228
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the Maple Leafs lead the series 2–0
TOR 2-0 · OTT 0-2 · Game 2 — the Maple Leafs lead the series 2–0
Maple Leafs beat the Senators
Chances were even (1.7 to 2.1 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won it in overtime on Domi's goal. Linus Ullmark allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.7 expected goals to 2.1, on 21 and 28 shots on goal.
TOR 1.7 xG · 21 shots
OTT 2.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
0.1 · 0.9
3rd
0.5 · 0.4
OT
0.1 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Rielly · 1st 03:43 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 1st 08:20 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 15:41 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Adam Gaudette · 3rd 14:47 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Max Domi · OT 03:09 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 42.
TOR 42%OTT 58%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Rielly · 1st 03:43 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
John Tavares · 1st 08:20 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Brady Tkachuk · 2nd 15:41 · PP · 2–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Adam Gaudette · 3rd 14:47 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Max Domi · OT 03:09 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
1st period
1
William Nylander, John Tavares · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
