TOR
0–4
OTT
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 3-2
0–4
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 2-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
01206011029
OTT
041837419
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Maple Leafs lead the series 3–2
TOR 3-2 · OTT 2-3 · Game 5 — the Maple Leafs lead the series 3–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Senators
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (2.8 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 0–4. Linus Ullmark stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.8, on 29 and 19 shots on goal.
TOR 2.8 xG · 29 shots
OTT 1.8 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 0.6
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 03:46 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 08:24 · 0–2 · snap shot, a great chance (36%)
3
Tim Stützle · 3rd 17:09 · 0–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
4
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 19:13 · 0–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 67.
TOR 67%OTT 33%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Senators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Thomas Chabot · 2nd 03:46 · GWG · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Cozens · 3rd 08:24 · SH · 0–2
Snap shot, a great chance (36%)
3
Tim Stützle · 3rd 17:09 · EN · 0–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
4
Brady Tkachuk · 3rd 19:13 · EN · 0–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/17 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/29 saves · 0 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
