TOR
5–4
FLA
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 5-2
5–4
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 4-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
31315112530
FLA
1409316429
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Maple Leafs lead the series 1–0
TOR 5-2 · FLA 4-2 · Game 1 — the Maple Leafs lead the series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Panthers
Chances were even (2.9 to 2.8 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 5–4. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 2.8, on 30 and 29 shots on goal.
TOR 2.9 xG · 30 shots
FLA 2.8 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd
0.4 · 0.7
3rd
1.4 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 00:33 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 1st 12:51 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Seth Jones · 1st 16:57 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Morgan Rielly · 1st 17:16 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Chris Tanev · 2nd 07:50 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 01:39 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Uvis Balinskis · 3rd 04:30 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Matthew Knies · 3rd 14:00 · 5–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Sam Bennett · 3rd 18:05 · 5–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 52.
TOR 52%FLA 48%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 00:33 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
William Nylander · 1st 12:51 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Seth Jones · 1st 16:57 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Morgan Rielly · 1st 17:16 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Chris Tanev · 2nd 07:50 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
6
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 01:39 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Uvis Balinskis · 3rd 04:30 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
8
Matthew Knies · 3rd 14:00 · GWG · 5–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Sam Bennett · 3rd 18:05 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 5–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
8/9 saves · 1 GA · 1.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
