TOR
4–3
FLA
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 6-2
4–3
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 4-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
152916420
FLA
16111111328
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the Maple Leafs lead the series 2–0
TOR 6-2 · FLA 4-3 · Game 2 — the Maple Leafs lead the series 2–0
Maple Leafs beat the Panthers
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.2 to 1.7 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 1.7, on 28 and 20 shots on goal.
TOR 1.7 xG · 20 shots
FLA 3.2 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.6
2nd
0.5 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 10:58 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Max Pacioretty · 1st 18:19 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Brad Marchand · 2nd 00:15 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
4
William Nylander · 2nd 04:18 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Max Domi · 2nd 17:09 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Anton Lundell · 3rd 05:33 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Mitch Marner · 3rd 05:50 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 26.
TOR 26%FLA 74%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Aleksander Barkov · 1st 10:58 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Max Pacioretty · 1st 18:19 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Brad Marchand · 2nd 00:15 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
4
William Nylander · 2nd 04:18 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Max Domi · 2nd 17:09 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
Anton Lundell · 3rd 05:33 · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
7
Mitch Marner · 3rd 05:50 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
