Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 7-6
1–6
FinalL
Florida Panthers
FLA · 8-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
070518120
FLA
0831838634
goals · shots on goal
Game 7 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 3–4
TOR 7-6 · FLA 8-4 · Game 7 — the Maple Leafs trail the series 3–4
Maple Leafs fell to the Panthers
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.3 to 1.5 expected goals) and lost 1–6. Joseph Woll allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Panthers created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.5, on 34 and 20 shots on goal.
TOR 1.5 xG · 20 shots
FLA 3.3 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.1 · 2.3
3rd
0.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Seth Jones · 2nd 03:15 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Anton Lundell · 2nd 07:18 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
3
Jonah Gadjovich · 2nd 09:39 · 0–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
4
Max Domi · 3rd 02:07 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 02:54 · 1–4 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 09:24 · 1–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Brad Marchand · 3rd 16:57 · 1–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 21.
TOR 21%FLA 79%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Seth Jones · 2nd 03:15 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Anton Lundell · 2nd 07:18 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
3
Jonah Gadjovich · 2nd 09:39 · 0–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
4
Max Domi · 3rd 02:07 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Eetu Luostarinen · 3rd 02:54 · 1–4
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 3rd 09:24 · 1–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Brad Marchand · 3rd 16:57 · EN · 1–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
1
Evan Rodrigues, Aleksander Barkov · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
0–1
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.