Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 1-0-0
5–2
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 0-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
1811039527
MTL
11111406231
goals · shots on goal
Season opener for both teams
·First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 1-0-0 · MTL 0-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Canadiens
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.0 to 1.7 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Samuel Montembeault allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Canadiens created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.7, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
TOR 1.7 xG · 27 shots
MTL 3.0 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
3rd
0.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 01:00 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Oliver Kapanen · 1st 05:39 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Zachary Bolduc · 2nd 01:30 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
4
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 05:40 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 09:02 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:28 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
William Nylander · 3rd 19:45 · 5–2 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 29.
TOR 29%MTL 71%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Bobby McMann · 1st 01:00 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Oliver Kapanen · 1st 05:39 · SH · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Zachary Bolduc · 2nd 01:30 · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
4
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 05:40 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Morgan Rielly · 3rd 09:02 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Auston Matthews · 3rd 18:28 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
William Nylander · 3rd 19:45 · EN · 5–2
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:08
Patrik Laine· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:44
William Nylander· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:38
Matthew Knies· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:06
Ivan Demidov· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Canadiens power plays.