TOR
2–3
DET
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 1-2-0
2–3
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 2-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
013011216240
DET
160425315
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
TOR 1-2-0 · DET 2-1-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Red Wings
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (3.0 to 1.7 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Appleton's winner came with 0:45 left. Anthony Stolarz allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.7, on 40 and 15 shots on goal.
TOR 3.0 xG · 40 shots
DET 1.7 xG · 15 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 18:55 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
2
James van Riemsdyk · 3rd 04:25 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Matthew Knies · 3rd 07:29 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 13:42 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Mason Appleton · 3rd 19:15 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 72.
TOR 72%DET 28%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 8 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Larkin · 1st 18:55 · PP · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
2
James van Riemsdyk · 3rd 04:25 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Matthew Knies · 3rd 07:29 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 13:42 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
Mason Appleton · 3rd 19:15 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:53
Morgan Rielly· Cross-checking
Morgan Rielly· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:42
Simon Benoit· Delaying game puck over glass
Simon Benoit· Delaying game puck over glass
Larkin scored on this power play
Minor
1
Alex DeBrincat, Lucas Raymond · Power play (Benoit, delaying game puck over glass) · backhand shot, a good chance (23%)
0–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:57
Simon Benoit· Hooking
Simon Benoit· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:22
Dylan Larkin· Interference
Dylan Larkin· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
17:31
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:39
Dylan Larkin· High-sticking
Dylan Larkin· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:59
Dylan Larkin· Embellishment
Dylan Larkin· Embellishment
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:59
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· High-sticking
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· High-sticking
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
12/15 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
38/40 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Red Wings power plays.