TOR
7–4
NSH
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 2-2-0
7–4
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 2-1-1
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
2926313728
NSH
0821329430
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 2-2-0 · NSH 2-1-1 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Predators
The Maple Leafs earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.3, and a 7–4 win to show for it. Justus Annunen allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 28 and 30 shots on goal.
TOR 3.1 xG · 28 shots
NSH 2.3 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
0.7 · 1.1
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake McCabe · 1st 08:42 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 1st 13:34 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Michael McCarron · 2nd 03:21 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Erik Haula · 2nd 04:05 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 2nd 08:49 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Bobby McMann · 2nd 16:24 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Auston Matthews · 3rd 10:42 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Roman Josi · 3rd 16:06 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 16:50 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Nick Perbix · 3rd 18:49 · 6–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
William Nylander · 3rd 19:36 · 7–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 63.
TOR 63%NSH 37%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 6 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake McCabe · 1st 08:42 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
2
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 1st 13:34 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3
Michael McCarron · 2nd 03:21 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Erik Haula · 2nd 04:05 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 2nd 08:49 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Bobby McMann · 2nd 16:24 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Auston Matthews · 3rd 10:42 · GWG · 5–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Roman Josi · 3rd 16:06 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
9
Auston Matthews · 3rd 16:50 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Nick Perbix · 3rd 18:49 · 6–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
William Nylander · 3rd 19:36 · EN · 7–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:01
Nicolas Roy· Hooking
Nicolas Roy· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
3
Brady Skjei, Nick Perbix · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:40
Matthew Knies· Hooking
Matthew Knies· Hooking
Killed
Minor
6
Nick Robertson, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:44
Michael McCarron· Roughing
Michael McCarron· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:44
Brandon Carlo· Roughing
Brandon Carlo· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:28
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Interference
Ozzy Wiesblatt· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:42
Adam Wilsby· Holding
Adam Wilsby· Holding
Killed
Minor
8
Adam Wilsby, Jonathan Marchessault · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5–3
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/26 saves · 5 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Predators power plays.