TOR 2–1 NYR Final / OT · W
Maple Leafs/Schedule/Recap Thu, Oct 16, 2025 · 2025-26 regular season
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 3-2-0
2–1
Final / OTW
New York Rangers
NYR · 2-3-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT TOR 190100411224 NYR 0100911000129 goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 3-2-0 · NYR 2-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0

Maple Leafs beat the Rangers

The Maple Leafs were outchanced (2.9 to 2.4 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Matthews's goal anyway. Anthony Stolarz stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

The Rangers created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.4, on 29 and 24 shots on goal.

TOR 2.4 xG · 24 shots NYR 2.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st 1.0 · 1.1
2nd 0.8 · 0.8
3rd 0.3 · 1.0
OT 0.1 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 40.
TOR 40%NYR 60%

Goals and penalties

3 goals · 5 penalties
← Maple Leafs shoot this way Rangers shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
PEN
04:20 Artemi Panarin· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
07:22 Dakota Joshua· Roughing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
10:00 Will Cuylle· Hooking
Knies scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
1
11:48 Matthew Knies PP
William Nylander, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Power play (Cuylle, hooking) · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
1–0
PEN
15:43 Matthew Knies· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
2nd period
PEN
13:58 Simon Benoit· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
3rd period
2
Braden Schneider · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
1–1
Overtime
3
00:58 Auston Matthews GWG
William Nylander, Morgan Rielly · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2–1
Goaltending
+1.9
vs expected
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
+0.4
vs expected
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Team TORNYR
Shots on goal
24
29
Expected goals
2.4
2.9
Hits
18
22
Blocks
10
13
Faceoffs
47%
53%
Power play
1/2
0/3
Penalty minutes
6
4
The Maple Leafs went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 3 Rangers power plays.