Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 3-2-0
2–1
Final / OTW
New York Rangers
NYR · 2-3-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
190100411224
NYR
0100911000129
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 3-2-0 · NYR 2-3-1 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Rangers
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (2.9 to 2.4 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Matthews's goal anyway. Anthony Stolarz stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Rangers created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.4, on 29 and 24 shots on goal.
TOR 2.4 xG · 24 shots
NYR 2.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.1
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd
0.3 · 1.0
OT
0.1 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 11:48 · 1–0 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 04:51 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Auston Matthews · OT 00:58 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 40.
TOR 40%NYR 60%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matthew Knies · 1st 11:48 · PP · 1–0
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
2
Juuso Parssinen · 3rd 04:51 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Auston Matthews · OT 00:58 · GWG · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:20
Artemi Panarin· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:22
Dakota Joshua· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:00
Will Cuylle· Hooking
Knies scored on this power play
Minor
1
William Nylander, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Power play (Cuylle, hooking) · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:43
Matthew Knies· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:58
Simon Benoit· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Overtime
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Maple Leafs went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 3 Rangers power plays.