TOR 4–3 BUF Final / OT · W
Maple Leafs/Schedule/Recap Sat, Oct 25, 2025 · 2025-26 regular season
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 4-4-1
4–3
Final / OTW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 4-4-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT TOR 161111511423 BUF 112161701326 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 4-4-1 · BUF 4-4-1 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1

Maple Leafs beat the Sabres

Chances were even (2.1 to 2.0 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won it in overtime on Tavares's goal. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.

Who had the better chances

Chances were close: 2.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 23 and 26 shots on goal.

TOR 2.1 xG · 23 shots BUF 2.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
1st 1.0 · 1.0
2nd 0.7 · 0.5
3rd 0.1 · 0.4
OT 0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 52.
TOR 52%BUF 48%

Goals and penalties

7 goals · 10 penalties
← Maple Leafs shoot this way Sabres shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
PEN
02:32 Josh Dunne· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
07:05 Jake McCabe· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
10:09 Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Cross-checking
Killed
2 min
Minor
1
13:40 Tage Thompson
Jiri Kulich, Mattias Samuelsson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
0–1
PEN
14:22 Alex Tuch· Instigator
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:22 Jake McCabe· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
14:22 Alex Tuch· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
14:22 Alex Tuch· Instigator
10 min
Misconduct
2
18:33 Nick Robertson
Easton Cowan, Auston Matthews · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1–1
2nd period
3
01:59 Matias Maccelli
John Tavares, Matthew Knies · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
04:21 Mattias Samuelsson· Cross-checking
Killed
2 min
Minor
4
14:23 Bowen Byram
Conor Timmins, Ryan McLeod · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2–2
PEN
17:12 Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
3rd period
PEN
06:25 Simon Benoit· Tripping
Thompson scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
5
07:06 Tage Thompson PP
Jason Zucker, Rasmus Dahlin · Power play (Benoit, tripping) · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
2–3
6
13:10 Dakota Joshua
Jake McCabe, Brandon Carlo · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–3
Overtime
7
01:28 John Tavares GWG
Matthew Knies · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
4–3
Goaltending
−1.0
vs expected
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
−1.9
vs expected
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.1 xGA Allowed 1.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Team TORBUF
Shots on goal
23
26
Expected goals
2.1
2.0
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Faceoffs
67%
33%
Power play
0/2
1/4
Penalty minutes
0
0
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Sabres power plays.