TOR 4–3 CGY Final · W
Maple Leafs/Schedule/Recap Tue, Oct 28, 2025 · 2025-26 regular season
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 5-4-1
4–3
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 2-8-1
1ST2ND3RDT TOR 011216210437 CGY 1918112329 goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 5-4-1 · CGY 2-8-1 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0

Maple Leafs beat the Flames

Chances were even (3.6 to 3.1 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 4–3. Domi's winner came with 2:04 left.

Who had the better chances

Chances were close: 3.6 expected goals to 3.1, on 37 and 29 shots on goal.

TOR 3.6 xG · 37 shots CGY 3.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st 1.4 · 0.8
2nd 1.3 · 1.0
3rd 0.9 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 57.
TOR 57%CGY 43%

Goals and penalties

7 goals · 7 penalties
← Maple Leafs shoot this way Flames shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
04:33 Morgan Frost
Jonathan Huberdeau, Nazem Kadri · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
0–1
PEN
09:11 Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Holding
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
11:06 Connor Zary· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:02 Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
2 min
Bench minor
PEN
16:06 Jonathan Huberdeau· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
18:31 Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Hooking
Killed
2 min
Minor
2nd period
2
03:13 Max Domi
Steven Lorentz, Matias Maccelli · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1–1
3
17:55 Joel Farabee
Justin Kirkland, Rasmus Andersson · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (21%)
1–2
4
19:25 Matthew Knies
William Nylander · wrist shot, a great chance (38%)
2–2
3rd period
PEN
03:33 Joel Hanley· High-sticking
Knies scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
5
03:45 Matthew Knies PP
Unassisted · Power play (Hanley, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
3–2
PEN
05:40 Matthew Knies· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
6
14:49 Samuel Honzek
Mikael Backlund · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3–3
7
17:56 Max Domi GWG
Matthew Knies, John Tavares · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4–3
Goaltending
+0.1
vs expected
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
−0.4
vs expected
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 3.6 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
Team TORCGY
Shots on goal
37
29
Expected goals
3.6
3.1
Hits
18
20
Blocks
11
16
Faceoffs
50%
50%
Power play
1/4
0/3
Penalty minutes
6
8
The Maple Leafs went 1-for-4 on the power play and killed all 3 Flames power plays.