Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 7-5-1
4–3
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 8-4-2
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
0503412420
PIT
28117012337
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 7-5-1 · PIT 8-4-2 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Penguins
Down 0–3 in the 2nd period, the Maple Leafs erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — Nylander's equalizer — and won 4–3. Tristan Jarry allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Penguins created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.9, on 37 and 20 shots on goal.
TOR 1.9 xG · 20 shots
PIT 3.6 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.4
3rd
1.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Erik Karlsson · 1st 13:08 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Ben Kindel · 1st 17:56 · 0–2 · deflected shot, a great chance (62%)
3
Ben Kindel · 2nd 11:50 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Auston Matthews · 3rd 03:31 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
William Nylander · 3rd 04:47 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
William Nylander · 3rd 06:55 · 3–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Bobby McMann · 3rd 13:43 · 4–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 24.
TOR 24%PIT 76%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Erik Karlsson · 1st 13:08 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Ben Kindel · 1st 17:56 · 0–2
Deflected shot, a great chance (62%)
3
Ben Kindel · 2nd 11:50 · PP · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Auston Matthews · 3rd 03:31 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
5
William Nylander · 3rd 04:47 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
William Nylander · 3rd 06:55 · 3–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Bobby McMann · 3rd 13:43 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:28
Owen Pickering· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:44
Philippe Myers· Hooking
Kindel scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:34
William Nylander· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
6
Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Auston Matthews · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:55
· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-1 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Penguins power plays.