TOR
5–3
UTA
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 8-5-1
5–3
FinalW
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 9-5-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
052737519
UTA
181818324
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 8-5-1 · UTA 9-5-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Mammoth
Chances were even (2.2 to 1.9 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 5–3. Vitek Vanecek allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 1.9, on 19 and 24 shots on goal.
TOR 2.2 xG · 19 shots
UTA 1.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd
0.5 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Carcone · 1st 18:49 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
William Nylander · 2nd 04:46 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 08:56 · 2–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 16:27 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 3rd 08:06 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Matias Maccelli · 3rd 15:40 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Matthew Knies · 3rd 17:01 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 18:53 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 56.
TOR 56%UTA 44%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Mammoth shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Carcone · 1st 18:49 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
William Nylander · 2nd 04:46 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 08:56 · 2–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Mikhail Sergachev · 2nd 16:27 · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
John Tavares · 3rd 08:06 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Matias Maccelli · 3rd 15:40 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Matthew Knies · 3rd 17:01 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
8
Dylan Guenther · 3rd 18:53 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
