Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 8-6-1
3–5
FinalL
Boston Bruins
BOS · 10-7-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
26112015333
BOS
213214112539
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 8-6-1 · BOS 10-7-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Bruins
Chances were even (3.8 to 3.8 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 3–5. Anthony Stolarz allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.8 expected goals to 3.8, on 33 and 39 shots on goal.
TOR 3.8 xG · 33 shots
BOS 3.8 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 1.2
2nd
1.0 · 1.9
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Robertson · 1st 03:12 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Morgan Geekie · 1st 03:30 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Viktor Arvidsson · 1st 03:50 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Matias Maccelli · 1st 13:03 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Michael Eyssimont · 2nd 02:15 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
David Pastrnak · 2nd 04:41 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (46%)
7
John Tavares · 2nd 16:51 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Fraser Minten · 3rd 16:58 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 50.
TOR 50%BOS 50%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Robertson · 1st 03:12 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Morgan Geekie · 1st 03:30 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Viktor Arvidsson · 1st 03:50 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Matias Maccelli · 1st 13:03 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Michael Eyssimont · 2nd 02:15 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
David Pastrnak · 2nd 04:41 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (46%)
7
John Tavares · 2nd 16:51 · PP · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Fraser Minten · 3rd 16:58 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:22
Henri Jokiharju· Tripping
Robertson scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:59
Michael Eyssimont· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:27
Bobby McMann· Slashing
Eyssimont scored on this power play
Minor
5
Marat Khusnutdinov, Mason Lohrei · Power play (McMann, slashing) · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2–3
PEN
5 min
Major
13:37
Nikita Zadorov· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
13:37
Bobby McMann· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:05
Tanner Jeannot· Slashing
Tavares scored on this power play
Minor
7
William Nylander, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Power play (Jeannot, slashing) · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3–4
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:44
Max Domi· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:44
Michael Eyssimont· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:55
Hampus Lindholm· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
19/20 saves · 1 GA · 1.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Maple Leafs went 2-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 1 Bruins power play.