Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 8-7-1
4–5
FinalL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 11-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
3101802420
CAR
212113222547
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 8-7-1 · CAR 11-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Hurricanes
The Maple Leafs let a 4–2 lead get away: the Hurricanes came back with three unanswered goals — Hall's equalizer — and won 4–5. Brandon Bussi allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 2.4, on 47 and 20 shots on goal.
TOR 2.4 xG · 20 shots
CAR 4.9 xG · 47 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.7 · 1.1
2nd
1.4 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
0.4 · 2.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 05:00 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 08:34 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Seth Jarvis · 1st 14:31 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
John Tavares · 1st 15:31 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
5
William Nylander · 1st 19:01 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 11:03 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Sean Walker · 2nd 16:51 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
8
Taylor Hall · 3rd 03:20 · 4–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
9
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 12:13 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 18.
TOR 18%CAR 82%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 05:00 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Sebastian Aho · 1st 08:34 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Seth Jarvis · 1st 14:31 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
John Tavares · 1st 15:31 · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (38%)
5
William Nylander · 1st 19:01 · PP · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Auston Matthews · 2nd 11:03 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Sean Walker · 2nd 16:51 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
8
Taylor Hall · 3rd 03:20 · 4–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
9
Logan Stankoven · 3rd 12:13 · GWG · 4–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:00
Jake McCabe· Holding
Aho scored on this power play
Minor
2
Nikolaj Ehlers, K'Andre Miller · Power play (McCabe, holding) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:48
K'Andre Miller· Hooking
Nylander scored on this power play
Minor
5
John Tavares, Auston Matthews · Power play (Miller, hooking) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Charles Alexis Legault· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Bobby McMann· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:31
William Nylander· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:06
Jake McCabe· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:47
Jackson Blake· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:56
Jordan Staal· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:00
William Nylander· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
42/47 saves · 5 GA · 4.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
16/20 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Maple Leafs went 1-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Hurricanes power plays.