Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 14-11-5
2–3
Final / OTL
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 15-14-3
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
1111140500230
SJS
0111811112332
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 14-11-5 · SJS 15-14-3 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Sharks
The Maple Leafs let a 2–0 lead get away: the Sharks came back with three unanswered goals — Klingberg's equalizer with 1:25 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Wennberg's goal. The Sharks owned the overtime, 1.0 to 0.0 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sharks created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.3, on 32 and 30 shots on goal.
TOR 2.3 xG · 30 shots
SJS 3.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
OT · the swing
0.0 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dakota Joshua · 1st 14:33 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 14:32 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Dmitry Orlov · 2nd 15:31 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
John Klingberg · 3rd 18:35 · 2–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Alexander Wennberg · OT 02:49 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (72%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 29.
TOR 29%SJS 71%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dakota Joshua · 1st 14:33 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Auston Matthews · 2nd 14:32 · PP · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Dmitry Orlov · 2nd 15:31 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
John Klingberg · 3rd 18:35 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Alexander Wennberg · OT 02:49 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (72%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:31
Simon Benoit· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
11:46
Morgan Rielly· Ps hooking on breakaway
Penalty shot
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:58
John Klingberg· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:04
Macklin Celebrini· Hooking
Matthews scored on this power play
Minor
2
William Nylander, Morgan Rielly · Power play (Celebrini, hooking) · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
2–0
3
John Klingberg, Alexander Wennberg · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2–1
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:28
Dakota Joshua· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:03
Ty Dellandrea· Hooking
Killed
Minor
4
Macklin Celebrini, Alexander Wennberg · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–2
Overtime
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Maple Leafs went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Sharks power plays.