TOR
3–6
EDM
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 14-12-5
3–6
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 15-11-6
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
11011216328
EDM
112214312638
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 14-12-5 · EDM 15-11-6 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.3 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 3–6. Dennis Hildeby allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.3, on 28 and 37 shots on goal.
TOR 3.0 xG · 28 shots
EDM 3.3 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.4 · 1.4
2nd
1.6 · 1.0
3rd
0.9 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 03:25 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Easton Cowan · 1st 16:03 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 2nd 04:54 · 2–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 2nd 10:29 · 2–2
5
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 19:29 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Vasily Podkolzin · 3rd 01:21 · 2–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Vasily Podkolzin · 3rd 01:55 · 2–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Zach Hyman · 3rd 09:28 · 2–6 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Steven Lorentz · 3rd 19:12 · 3–6 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 46.
TOR 46%EDM 54%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 3 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Connor McDavid · 1st 03:25 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Easton Cowan · 1st 16:03 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 2nd 04:54 · 2–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 2nd 10:29 · 2–2
5
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 19:29 · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Vasily Podkolzin · 3rd 01:21 · GWG · 2–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Vasily Podkolzin · 3rd 01:55 · 2–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
8
Zach Hyman · 3rd 09:28 · 2–6
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
9
Steven Lorentz · 3rd 19:12 · 3–6
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:38
Max Domi· High-sticking
Max Domi· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2
Scott Laughton, Steven Lorentz · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3
Matthew Knies, Max Domi · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:22
John Tavares· Hooking
John Tavares· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:02
Vasily Podkolzin· Interference
Vasily Podkolzin· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
5/5 saves · 0 GA · 0.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/32 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Artur Akhtyamov
TOR
TOR+0.3
vs expected
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 2 Oilers power plays.