Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 15-12-5
3–2
FinalW
Chicago Blackhawks
CHI · 13-14-6
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
0708312327
CHI
2100609225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 15-12-5 · CHI 13-14-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs beat the Blackhawks
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Maple Leafs erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Matthews's equalizer — and won 3–2.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 2.2 expected goals to 1.6, on 27 and 25 shots on goal.
TOR 2.2 xG · 27 shots
CHI 1.6 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
0.7 · 0.3
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Wyatt Kaiser · 1st 10:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jason Dickinson · 1st 14:58 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 3rd 09:59 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 3rd 16:51 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Dakota Joshua · 3rd 16:59 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 61.
TOR 61%CHI 39%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Wyatt Kaiser · 1st 10:21 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jason Dickinson · 1st 14:58 · SH · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Oliver Ekman-Larsson · 3rd 09:59 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Auston Matthews · 3rd 16:51 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Dakota Joshua · 3rd 16:59 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:28
Connor Murphy· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:35
Dakota Joshua· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:44
Alex Vlasic· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
3
Auston Matthews, William Nylander · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
1–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:21
Dominic Toninato· Holding the stick
Matthews scored on this power play
Minor
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Maple Leafs went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 1 Blackhawks power play.