TOR
6–3
PIT
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 16-15-5
6–3
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 15-12-9
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
27112312631
PIT
11219111332
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 3–0
TOR 16-15-5 · PIT 15-12-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 3–0
Maple Leafs beat the Penguins
The Maple Leafs earned it: 3.0 expected goals to 2.2, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Stuart Skinner allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 31 and 32 shots on goal.
TOR 3.0 xG · 31 shots
PIT 2.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
1.3 · 0.7
3rd
1.0 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Nylander · 1st 09:07 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 09:51 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Matias Maccelli · 1st 13:34 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
4
Steven Lorentz · 2nd 07:38 · 3–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Rutger McGroarty · 2nd 11:43 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Anthony Mantha · 3rd 01:00 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Max Domi · 3rd 11:35 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Bobby McMann · 3rd 17:57 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
William Nylander · 3rd 18:36 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 64.
TOR 64%PIT 36%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 6 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Nylander · 1st 09:07 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Bryan Rust · 1st 09:51 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Matias Maccelli · 1st 13:34 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (0%) that found a way in
4
Steven Lorentz · 2nd 07:38 · 3–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
5
Rutger McGroarty · 2nd 11:43 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Anthony Mantha · 3rd 01:00 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Max Domi · 3rd 11:35 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Bobby McMann · 3rd 17:57 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
William Nylander · 3rd 18:36 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Kris Letang· Roughing
Kris Letang· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Bobby McMann· Roughing
Bobby McMann· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
5
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
6
Parker Wotherspoon, Justin Brazeau · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:10
Erik Karlsson· Tripping
Erik Karlsson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:41
Matias Maccelli· Slashing
Matias Maccelli· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:57
Ben Kindel· Slashing
Ben Kindel· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:15
Philippe Myers· Interference
Philippe Myers· Interference
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
29/32 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Penguins power plays.