TOR 7–5 OTT Final · W
Maple Leafs/Schedule/Recap Sat, Dec 27, 2025 · 2025-26 regular season
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 17-15-5
7–5
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 18-14-5
1ST2ND3RDT TOR 2432029733 OTT 1919313531 goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 17-15-5 · OTT 18-14-5 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0

Maple Leafs beat the Senators

Chances were even (3.3 to 3.3 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 7–5. Linus Ullmark allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.

Who had the better chances

Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.3, on 33 and 31 shots on goal.

TOR 3.3 xG · 33 shots OTT 3.3 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st 0.5 · 0.8
2nd · the swing 2.2 · 1.1
3rd 0.6 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 49.
TOR 49%OTT 51%

Goals and penalties

12 goals · 6 penalties
← Maple Leafs shoot this way Senators shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
PEN
00:12 Fabian Zetterlund· Interference
Nylander scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
1
00:40 William Nylander PP
Auston Matthews, Matias Maccelli · Power play (Zetterlund, interference) · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
1–0
PEN
07:50 Philippe Myers· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
13:07 Brady Tkachuk· Tripping
Knies scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
2
14:42 Matthew Knies PP
Max Domi, Nick Robertson · Power play (Tkachuk, tripping) · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
2–0
3
17:50 Nick Cousins
Jordan Spence, Stephen Halliday · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
2–1
2nd period
4
00:18 Ridly Greig
Claude Giroux · wrist shot, a great chance (48%)
2–2
5
03:28 Bobby McMann
Auston Matthews, Max Domi · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
3–2
6
07:28 Auston Matthews
Max Domi, Jake McCabe · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (35%)
4–2
7
08:32 Nick Robertson
Matthew Knies, Nicolas Roy · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5–2
3rd period
8
00:14 Drake Batherson
Dylan Cozens, Brady Tkachuk · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5–3
PEN
01:47 Drake Batherson· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
PEN
01:47 Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Roughing
Offsetting
2 min
Minor
9
05:07 Tim Stützle
Fabian Zetterlund · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
5–4
10
05:53 Matthew Knies GWG
Matias Maccelli, Morgan Rielly · backhand shot, a great chance (26%)
6–4
11
09:18 Jordan Spence
Claude Giroux, Stephen Halliday · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
6–5
PEN
12:46 Jake Sanderson· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
12
18:44 John Tavares EN
Unassisted · wrist shot, into an empty net
7–5
Goaltending
−1.7
vs expected
26/31 saves · 5 GA · 3.3 xGA Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
−0.5
vs expected
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.5 xGA Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Team TOROTT
Shots on goal
33
31
Expected goals
3.3
3.3
Hits
0
0
Blocks
0
0
Faceoffs
44%
56%
Power play
2/3
0/1
Penalty minutes
0
0
The Maple Leafs went 2-for-3 on the power play and killed all 1 Senators power play.