TOR
4–1
FLA
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 20-15-7
4–1
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 22-17-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
182916423
FLA
0409119132
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
TOR 20-15-7 · FLA 22-17-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–0
Maple Leafs beat the Panthers
Chances were even (3.1 to 2.7 expected goals); the Maple Leafs won 4–1. Joseph Woll stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 2.7, on 23 and 32 shots on goal.
TOR 3.1 xG · 23 shots
FLA 2.7 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.3
2nd
1.0 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Easton Cowan · 1st 19:36 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Matthew Knies · 2nd 00:42 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 04:01 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 11:38 · 3–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Bobby McMann · 3rd 19:52 · 4–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 57.
TOR 57%FLA 43%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 7 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Easton Cowan · 1st 19:36 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Matthew Knies · 2nd 00:42 · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Auston Matthews · 2nd 04:01 · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Carter Verhaeghe · 3rd 11:38 · 3–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Bobby McMann · 3rd 19:52 · EN · 4–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:24
Evan Rodrigues· Hooking
Evan Rodrigues· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:14
Easton Cowan· Tripping
Easton Cowan· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
14:21
Max Domi· Fighting
Max Domi· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
14:21
Aaron Ekblad· Fighting
Aaron Ekblad· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:59
Morgan Rielly· Tripping
Morgan Rielly· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:15
Philippe Myers· Delaying game puck over glass
Philippe Myers· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:05
Donovan Sebrango· Hooking
Donovan Sebrango· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 3 Panthers power plays.