TOR
3–6
MIN
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 24-17-8
3–6
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 28-13-9
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
1808214330
MIN
29320110639
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
TOR 24-17-8 · MIN 28-13-9 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Wild
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.7 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 3–6. Joseph Woll allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.7, on 30 and 39 shots on goal.
TOR 3.4 xG · 30 shots
MIN 3.7 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.2
2nd
0.9 · 1.6
3rd
1.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 04:45 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Ryan Hartman · 1st 10:29 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
John Tavares · 1st 18:24 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Marcus Foligno · 2nd 06:53 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 08:24 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Marcus Foligno · 2nd 19:14 · 1–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Nick Robertson · 3rd 06:27 · 2–5 · deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
8
Auston Matthews · 3rd 15:02 · 3–5 · backhand shot, a great chance (33%)
9
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 17:22 · 3–6 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 45.
TOR 45%MIN 55%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 6 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Vladimir Tarasenko · 1st 04:45 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Ryan Hartman · 1st 10:29 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
3
John Tavares · 1st 18:24 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Marcus Foligno · 2nd 06:53 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 08:24 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Marcus Foligno · 2nd 19:14 · PP · 1–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Nick Robertson · 3rd 06:27 · 2–5
Deflected shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
8
Auston Matthews · 3rd 15:02 · 3–5
Backhand shot, a great chance (33%)
9
Marcus Foligno · 3rd 17:22 · EN · 3–6
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:58
Simon Benoit· Tripping
Simon Benoit· Tripping
Tarasenko scored on this power play
Minor
1
Ryan Hartman, Kirill Kaprizov · Power play (Benoit, tripping) · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
0–1
PEN
4 min
Double minor
18:06
Jared Spurgeon· High-sticking
Jared Spurgeon· High-sticking
Tavares scored on this power play
Double minor
3
Matthew Knies, Auston Matthews · Power play (Spurgeon, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1–2
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:36
Brandon Carlo· Interference
Brandon Carlo· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:18
Quinn Hughes· Interference
Quinn Hughes· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:23
Easton Cowan· Hooking
Easton Cowan· Hooking
Foligno scored on this power play
Minor
6
Brock Faber, Danila Yurov · Power play (Cowan, hooking) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–5
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:37
Vladimir Tarasenko· Tripping
Vladimir Tarasenko· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
24/29 saves · 5 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
9/9 saves · 0 GA · 0.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Maple Leafs went 1-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 3 Wild power plays.