TOR 1–2 DET Final / OT · L
Maple Leafs/Schedule/Recap Wed, Jan 21, 2026 · 2025-26 regular season
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 24-17-9
1–2
Final / OTL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 31-16-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT TOR 1120140500131 DET 1150701316241 goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–4
TOR 24-17-9 · DET 31-16-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–4

Maple Leafs fell to the Red Wings

Chances were even (3.8 to 3.4 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost it in overtime on Larkin's goal. John Gibson stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.

Who had the better chances

Chances were close: 3.8 expected goals to 3.4, on 31 and 41 shots on goal.

TOR 3.8 xG · 31 shots DET 3.4 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st 1.4 · 1.6
2nd · the swing 1.9 · 0.3
3rd 0.4 · 0.5
OT 0.1 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 55.
TOR 55%DET 45%

Goals and penalties

3 goals · 5 penalties
← Maple Leafs shoot this way Red Wings shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
1
Calle Jarnkrok, Steven Lorentz · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
1–0
PEN
05:37 Easton Cowan· Holding
Killed
2 min
Minor
2
Lucas Raymond, Dylan Larkin · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
1–1
2nd period
PEN
04:28 Jacob Bernard-Docker· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
09:31 James van Riemsdyk· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
14:49 Calle Jarnkrok· Holding the stick
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
16:41 Simon Edvinsson· Ps hooking on breakaway
0 min
Penalty shot
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
3
03:08 Dylan Larkin GWG
Moritz Seider · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (32%)
1–2
Goaltending
+1.4
vs expected
39/41 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
+2.8
vs expected
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 3.8 xGA Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Team TORDET
Shots on goal
31
41
Expected goals
3.8
3.4
Hits
22
15
Blocks
13
18
Faceoffs
49%
51%
Power play
0/2
0/2
Penalty minutes
4
4
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Red Wings power plays.