Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 24-17-9
1–2
Final / OTL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 31-16-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
1120140500131
DET
1150701316241
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–4
TOR 24-17-9 · DET 31-16-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–4
Maple Leafs fell to the Red Wings
Chances were even (3.8 to 3.4 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost it in overtime on Larkin's goal. John Gibson stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.8 expected goals to 3.4, on 31 and 41 shots on goal.
TOR 3.8 xG · 31 shots
DET 3.4 xG · 41 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 1.6
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.3
3rd
0.4 · 0.5
OT
0.1 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Scott Laughton · 1st 04:46 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Simon Edvinsson · 1st 19:42 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Dylan Larkin · OT 03:08 · 1–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (32%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 55.
TOR 55%DET 45%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Scott Laughton · 1st 04:46 · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Simon Edvinsson · 1st 19:42 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Dylan Larkin · OT 03:08 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (32%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:37
Easton Cowan· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:28
Jacob Bernard-Docker· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:31
James van Riemsdyk· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:49
Calle Jarnkrok· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
16:41
Simon Edvinsson· Ps hooking on breakaway
Penalty shot
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
Goaltending
39/41 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Red Wings power plays.