TOR
1–4
COL
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 24-19-9
1–4
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 35-6-9
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
06013114133
COL
21711416437
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 24-19-9 · COL 35-6-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Avalanche
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.1 expected goals); the Maple Leafs lost 1–4. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.1, on 33 and 37 shots on goal.
TOR 3.2 xG · 33 shots
COL 3.1 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.3
2nd
0.8 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 06:19 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 07:31 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Jack Drury · 2nd 18:53 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Brock Nelson · 3rd 17:41 · 0–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Max Domi · 3rd 18:58 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 52.
TOR 52%COL 48%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 5 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Avalanche shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 06:19 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 07:31 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Jack Drury · 2nd 18:53 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Brock Nelson · 3rd 17:41 · EN · 0–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
5
Max Domi · 3rd 18:58 · PP · 1–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
1st period
2
Artturi Lehkonen, Valeri Nichushkin · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
0–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:34
Artturi Lehkonen· Slashing
Artturi Lehkonen· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:36
Simon Benoit· Tripping
Simon Benoit· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:43
Brandon Carlo· Holding
Brandon Carlo· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:03
Josh Manson· High-sticking
Josh Manson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:25
Zakhar Bardakov· Delaying game face off violation
Zakhar Bardakov· Delaying game face off violation
Domi scored on this power play
Minor
5
Bobby McMann, Easton Cowan · Power play (Bardakov, delaying game face off violation) · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
1–4
Goaltending
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 2.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Maple Leafs went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Avalanche power plays.