Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 27-24-9
2–5
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 29-22-8
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
1218013223
OTT
11641509540
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
TOR 27-24-9 · OTT 29-22-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Maple Leafs fell to the Senators
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (4.0 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 2–5. Joseph Woll allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 1.8, on 40 and 23 shots on goal.
TOR 1.8 xG · 23 shots
OTT 4.0 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.2 · 1.9
2nd
1.2 · 1.6
3rd
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Morgan Rielly · 1st 02:52 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Thomas Chabot · 1st 10:59 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
3
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 03:03 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Drake Batherson · 2nd 13:05 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 13:56 · 2–3 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 15:15 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 16:06 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 18.
TOR 18%OTT 82%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 14 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Morgan Rielly · 1st 02:52 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Thomas Chabot · 1st 10:59 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
3
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 03:03 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Drake Batherson · 2nd 13:05 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
5
William Nylander · 2nd 13:56 · 2–3
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
6
Drake Batherson · 2nd 15:15 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Dylan Cozens · 2nd 16:06 · PP · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:50
Dylan Cozens· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:03
Simon Benoit· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
15:15
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Cozens scored on this power play
Bench minor
7
Tim Stützle, Jake Sanderson · Power play (delaying game unsuccessful challenge) · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2–5
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:34
Anthony Stolarz· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:34
Ridly Greig· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:34
Nick Cousins· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:34
Max Domi· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
03:34
Scott Laughton· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
03:34
Nick Cousins· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
03:34
Max Domi· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:09
John Tavares· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:09
Shane Pinto· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:27
Brady Tkachuk· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:44
Morgan Rielly· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 2.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
12/12 saves · 0 GA · 1.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Senators power plays.