TOR
2–5
TBL
Final · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 27-26-11
2–5
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 39-18-4
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
11108110229
TBL
41207114533
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
TOR 27-26-11 · TBL 39-18-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Lightning
The Maple Leafs created the better chances (3.5 to 1.6 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Anthony Stolarz allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 1.6, on 29 and 33 shots on goal.
TOR 3.5 xG · 29 shots
TBL 1.6 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd
0.7 · 0.4
3rd · the swing
1.5 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matias Maccelli · 1st 04:50 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Ryan McDonagh · 1st 05:36 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 1st 12:30 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Corey Perry · 1st 13:48 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 1st 15:06 · 1–4 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 15:41 · 1–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Nick Robertson · 3rd 19:29 · 2–5 · wrap around shot, a great chance (48%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 79.
TOR 79%TBL 21%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 9 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matias Maccelli · 1st 04:50 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Ryan McDonagh · 1st 05:36 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 1st 12:30 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Corey Perry · 1st 13:48 · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 1st 15:06 · PP · 1–4
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 15:41 · EN · 1–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Nick Robertson · 3rd 19:29 · 2–5
Wrap around shot, a great chance (48%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:41
Conor Geekie· Tripping
Conor Geekie· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
12:14
Max Domi· Fighting
Max Domi· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
12:14
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Fighting
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
3
Brayden Point, Nikita Kucherov · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:31
Brandon Carlo· Hooking
Brandon Carlo· Hooking
Bjorkstrand scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:49
Darren Raddysh· Tripping
Darren Raddysh· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:34
Troy Stecher· High-sticking
Troy Stecher· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:33
Scott Sabourin· Tripping
Scott Sabourin· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
14:22
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:16
Simon Benoit· Holding
Simon Benoit· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
28/32 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Lightning power plays.