TOR
6–4
ANA
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 28-27-11
6–4
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 36-26-3
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
18210310628
ANA
22016114440
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
TOR 28-27-11 · ANA 36-26-3 · First meeting this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 1–0
Maple Leafs beat the Ducks
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Maple Leafs erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Tavares's equalizer — and won 6–4. Lukas Dostal allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.8, on 28 and 40 shots on goal.
TOR 2.5 xG · 28 shots
ANA 2.8 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.8 · 1.8
2nd
1.0 · 0.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Matias Maccelli · 1st 07:19 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Cutter Gauthier · 1st 12:19 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Ian Moore · 1st 14:26 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Pavel Mintyukov · 2nd 02:55 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 10:47 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
John Tavares · 2nd 16:26 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
William Nylander · 3rd 00:36 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Bo Groulx · 3rd 08:35 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Matthew Knies · 3rd 18:12 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Alex Killorn · 3rd 19:34 · 6–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 45.
TOR 45%ANA 55%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 24 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Ducks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Matias Maccelli · 1st 07:19 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Cutter Gauthier · 1st 12:19 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Ian Moore · 1st 14:26 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Pavel Mintyukov · 2nd 02:55 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Auston Matthews · 2nd 10:47 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
6
John Tavares · 2nd 16:26 · PP · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
William Nylander · 3rd 00:36 · PP · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Bo Groulx · 3rd 08:35 · SH · GWG · 5–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
9
Matthew Knies · 3rd 18:12 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Alex Killorn · 3rd 19:34 · 6–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
5 min
Major
00:01
Jeffrey Viel· Fighting
Jeffrey Viel· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
00:01
· Fighting
· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:11
Max Domi· Cross-checking
Max Domi· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:45
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Roughing
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:45
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Roughing
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:45
Jacob Trouba· Roughing
Jacob Trouba· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:31
Chris Kreider· Cross-checking
Chris Kreider· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:57
Philippe Myers· Tripping
Philippe Myers· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:52
Jacob Trouba· Tripping
Jacob Trouba· Tripping
Matthews scored on this power play
Minor
5
Matthew Knies, William Nylander · Power play (Trouba, tripping) · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
2–3
PEN
5 min
Major
15:47
Radko Gudas· Kneeing
Radko Gudas· Kneeing
Tavares scored on this power play
Major
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
15:47
Radko Gudas· Game
Radko Gudas· Game
Misconduct
6
Matias Maccelli, Matthew Knies · Power play (Gudas, kneeing) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3–3
3rd period
7
Matthew Knies, Matias Maccelli · Power play (Gudas, kneeing) · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:14
Chris Kreider· Cross-checking
Chris Kreider· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:10
Max Domi· Interference
Max Domi· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
08:10
Max Domi· Misconduct
Max Domi· Misconduct
Misconduct
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:19
Morgan Rielly· Roughing
Morgan Rielly· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:19
Jeffrey Viel· Roughing
Jeffrey Viel· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:36
Easton Cowan· Instigator
Easton Cowan· Instigator
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
13:36
Easton Cowan· Fighting
Easton Cowan· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
13:36
Jackson LaCombe· Fighting
Jackson LaCombe· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
13:36
Easton Cowan· Instigator
Easton Cowan· Instigator
Misconduct
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:35
Beckett Sennecke· Holding
Beckett Sennecke· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Jake McCabe· Roughing
Jake McCabe· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Jeffrey Viel· Roughing
Jeffrey Viel· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Jeffrey Viel· Slashing
Jeffrey Viel· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
36/40 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/27 saves · 5 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Maple Leafs went 3-for-5 on the power play and killed all 3 Ducks power plays.