Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 29-28-12
1–3
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 39-24-5
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
0818011127
NYI
21218014334
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
TOR 29-28-12 · NYI 39-24-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 0–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Islanders
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (2.4 to 1.2 expected goals) and lost 1–3. Ilya Sorokin stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Islanders created the better chances: 2.4 expected goals to 1.2, on 34 and 27 shots on goal.
TOR 1.2 xG · 27 shots
NYI 2.4 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.3 · 0.9
2nd
0.5 · 0.5
3rd
0.4 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brayden Schenn · 1st 04:15 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Calum Ritchie · 1st 09:43 · 0–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Steven Lorentz · 2nd 04:40 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Emil Heineman · 2nd 11:57 · 1–3 · slap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 27.
TOR 27%NYI 73%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 10 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brayden Schenn · 1st 04:15 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Calum Ritchie · 1st 09:43 · PP · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Steven Lorentz · 2nd 04:40 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
4
Emil Heineman · 2nd 11:57 · 1–3
Slap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:30
Nick Robertson· Slashing
Schenn scored on this power play
Minor
1
Calum Ritchie, Mathew Barzal · Power play (Robertson, slashing) · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:18
Adam Pelech· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:34
Brandon Carlo· High-sticking
Ritchie scored on this power play
Minor
2
Mathew Barzal, Matthew Schaefer · Power play (Carlo, high-sticking) · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–2
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:47
Adam Pelech· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:13
Dakota Joshua· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:39
Casey Cizikas· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:12
Morgan Rielly· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
17:12
Kyle MacLean· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
17:12
Morgan Rielly· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
3rd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
14:57
John Tavares· High-sticking
Killed
Double minor
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
26/27 saves · 1 GA · 2.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Islanders power plays.