TOR
3–4
CAR
Final / OT · L
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 29-28-13
3–4
Final / OTL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 44-19-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
TOR
1411111100326
CAR
0831701011436
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
TOR 29-28-13 · CAR 44-19-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs trail the season series 1–2
Maple Leafs fell to the Hurricanes
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.7 to 2.4 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Nikishin's goal. The Hurricanes owned the 2nd period, 2.8 to 1.0 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 36 and 26 shots on goal.
TOR 2.4 xG · 26 shots
CAR 3.7 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 2.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.5
OT
0.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dakota Joshua · 1st 11:48 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
2
Jordan Staal · 2nd 05:57 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Eric Robinson · 2nd 12:35 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
4
John Tavares · 2nd 13:47 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
K'Andre Miller · 2nd 17:40 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
6
William Nylander · 3rd 13:50 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Alexander Nikishin · OT 00:41 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 29.
TOR 29%CAR 71%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 7 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dakota Joshua · 1st 11:48 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
2
Jordan Staal · 2nd 05:57 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Eric Robinson · 2nd 12:35 · PS · 1–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (28%)
4
John Tavares · 2nd 13:47 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
K'Andre Miller · 2nd 17:40 · SH · 2–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
6
William Nylander · 3rd 13:50 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Alexander Nikishin · OT 00:41 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:07
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Tripping
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:16
Nick Robertson· Tripping
Nick Robertson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:39
Alexander Nikishin· Slashing
Alexander Nikishin· Slashing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
01:57
Brandon Carlo· High-sticking
Brandon Carlo· High-sticking
Staal scored on this power play
Double minor
2
Seth Jarvis, Sebastian Aho · Power play (Carlo, high-sticking) · tip in shot, a great chance (27%)
1–1
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
12:35
Troy Stecher· Ps hooking on breakaway
Troy Stecher· Ps hooking on breakaway
Penalty shot
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:14
Sean Walker· Tripping
Sean Walker· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:10
Easton Cowan· Tripping
Easton Cowan· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Hurricanes power plays.