TOR
4–3
NYR
Final · W
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 31-29-13
4–3
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 28-35-9
1ST2ND3RDT
TOR
2101414418
NYR
014217112343
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
TOR 31-29-13 · NYR 28-35-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Maple Leafs lead the season series 2–1
Maple Leafs beat the Rangers
The Maple Leafs were outchanced (3.9 to 1.4 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Igor Shesterkin allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Rangers created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.4, on 43 and 18 shots on goal.
TOR 1.4 xG · 18 shots
NYR 3.9 xG · 43 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 1.1
2nd
0.4 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jake McCabe · 1st 05:15 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Nick Robertson · 1st 12:08 · 2–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Dakota Joshua · 2nd 05:41 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Alexis Lafrenière · 2nd 10:16 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 18:01 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
John Tavares · 3rd 11:57 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 13:04 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a great chance (38%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Maple Leafs win 14.
TOR 14%NYR 86%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 6 penalties← Maple Leafs shoot this way
Rangers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jake McCabe · 1st 05:15 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Nick Robertson · 1st 12:08 · 2–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Dakota Joshua · 2nd 05:41 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Alexis Lafrenière · 2nd 10:16 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
5
Mika Zibanejad · 2nd 18:01 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
John Tavares · 3rd 11:57 · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Mika Zibanejad · 3rd 13:04 · 4–3
Backhand shot, a great chance (38%)
1st period
1
Matias Maccelli, Dakota Joshua · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:55
Matthew Robertson· Holding
Matthew Robertson· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:22
Dakota Joshua· Cross-checking
Dakota Joshua· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:55
Simon Benoit· Roughing
Simon Benoit· Roughing
Lafrenière scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:02
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Slashing
Oliver Ekman-Larsson· Slashing
Zibanejad scored on this power play
Minor
5
Alexis Lafrenière, Adam Fox · Power play (Ekman-Larsson, slashing) · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
3–2
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:20
Braden Schneider· Holding
Braden Schneider· Holding
Killed
Minor
6
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:40
Jake McCabe· Cross-checking
Jake McCabe· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
40/43 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
14/18 saves · 4 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Maple Leafs went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Rangers power plays.